Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1985 |
SER
2 - 1
ZUR
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1985 |
ZUR
3 - 2
BAS
57%
22%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1985 |
LAU
3 - 0
ZUR
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
ZUR
1 - 1
LAC
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1985 |
YOB
1 - 1
ZUR
45%
25%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1985 |
FCL
3 - 3
SIO
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1985 |
ZUG
1 - 0
FCL
30%
23%
47%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1985 |
FCL
1 - 1
SER
24%
26%
51%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1985 |
FCL
2 - 4
LAU
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1985 |
LAC
0 - 1
FCL
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |