Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
GCZ
1 - 3
ZUR
26%
24%
51%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 1
POG
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
ZUR
3 - 3
WUP
85%
11%
4%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
THU
3 - 4
LUG
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCL
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
YOB
1 - 0
LUG
70%
18%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
CHI
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 0
FCV
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |