Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2020 |
STG
0 - 4
ZUR
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2020 |
YOB
3 - 2
ZUR
70%
17%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2020 |
SCH
0 - 6
ZUR
9%
15%
76%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2020 |
ZUR
5 - 1
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
FCV
1 - 5
ZUR
27%
23%
49%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCL
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
LUG
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
GCZ
1 - 3
LUG
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 0
SIO
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 1
YOB
10%
19%
72%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |