Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
ZUR
2 - 1
KRI
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
NAP
2 - 0
ZUR
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
YOB
2 - 0
ZUR
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
ZUR
1 - 3
NAP
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
THU
3 - 2
LUG
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 1
YOB
16%
20%
64%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FCL
0 - 3
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SIO
2 - 2
LUG
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 3
THU
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |