Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
28.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1993 |
YOB
0 - 0
ZUR
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1993 |
ZUR
3 - 2
SER
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1993 |
SIO
1 - 4
ZUR
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1993 |
ZUR
2 - 0
NEX
33%
30%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1993 |
LAU
2 - 0
ZUR
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1993 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCA
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1993 |
LAU
0 - 3
LUG
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1993 |
LUG
1 - 4
NEX
44%
28%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1993 |
LUG
5 - 0
SIO
38%
29%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1993 |
YOB
2 - 3
LUG
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |