Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1990 |
NEX
0 - 1
ZUR
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1990 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCA
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1990 |
GCZ
1 - 2
ZUR
67%
19%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
ZUR
0 - 3
FCL
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
STG
4 - 1
ZUR
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1990 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
45%
26%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1990 |
YOB
2 - 2
LUG
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1990 |
LUG
0 - 0
STG
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1990 |
GCZ
3 - 0
LUG
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1990 |
LUG
0 - 3
LAU
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |