Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
ZUR
1 - 3
KAI
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
SER
0 - 4
ZUR
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
STG
4 - 0
ZUR
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
ZUR
4 - 2
NEX
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
ZUR
7 - 2
CHI
87%
9%
4%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
LUG
2 - 2
STG
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
NEX
2 - 0
LUG
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
LUG
1 - 0
CSC
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
LUG
0 - 2
GCZ
27%
23%
50%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
LAU
2 - 1
LUG
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |