Zurich vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
STG
2 - 1
ZUR
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
ZUR
3 - 0
VEV
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
VEV
1 - 1
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
ZUR
3 - 2
STG
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
LOC
0 - 2
NEX
14%
24%
62%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
FCW
1 - 2
LOC
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
LOC
1 - 4
SIO
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
SIO
5 - 1
LOC
83%
12%
6%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
LOC
2 - 3
FCW
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |