Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
ZUR
0 - 2
GCZ
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
LAU
2 - 0
ZUR
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STG
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 0
ZUR
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZUR
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
STG
0 - 0
FCA
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
FCA
2 - 1
BAS
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
GCZ
4 - 2
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
SER
1 - 2
FCA
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |