Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
NEX
5 - 2
ZUR
69%
18%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
ZUR
0 - 0
LAU
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
FCL
1 - 0
ZUR
48%
24%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
ZUR
1 - 3
STG
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
BAS
5 - 4
ZUR
45%
24%
32%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
FCA
1 - 3
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
BAS
0 - 1
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
FCA
3 - 0
LAU
58%
21%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCA
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
FCA
2 - 0
SIO
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |