Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1985 |
WIN
4 - 2
ZUR
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1985 |
VEV
2 - 0
ZUR
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
ZUR
6 - 2
ZUG
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
ZUR
1 - 0
VEV
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
ZUG
1 - 5
ZUR
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
FCA
3 - 2
LAU
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 1
FCA
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
FCA
1 - 0
LAC
65%
20%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
LAC
5 - 4
FCA
46%
25%
28%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
FCA
1 - 0
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |