Zurich vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1996 |
LAU
2 - 0
ZUR
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
ZUR
1 - 1
LUG
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1996 |
ZUR
2 - 1
KRI
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
YVE
1 - 2
ZUR
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1996 |
ZUR
1 - 1
DEL
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1996 |
ETO
1 - 2
KRI
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
YVE
3 - 2
ETO
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
ETO
1 - 1
LAU
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
LUG
1 - 0
ETO
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
ETO
0 - 4
YOB
40%
27%
32%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |