Zurich vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
THU
2 - 1
ZUR
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
GCZ
2 - 1
ZUR
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2007 |
SPA
1 - 0
ZUR
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCA
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 0
TFC
64%
22%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BRE
5 - 2
LEV
61%
20%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
LEV
3 - 0
ROS
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2007 |
LEV
1 - 0
SPA
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
HER
0 - 3
LEV
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
LEV
4 - 1
MSV
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |