Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 0
ZUR
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
YOB
1 - 3
ZUR
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ZUR
3 - 1
GCZ
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 2
ZUR
28%
23%
48%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ZUR
3 - 1
THU
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
RBS
1 - 2
BAS
42%
23%
35%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
5 - 0
FCA
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 0
RBS
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
THU
2 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |