Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LAU
0 - 2
ZUR
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ZUR
1 - 1
YOB
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SIO
2 - 2
ZUR
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ZUR
0 - 2
STG
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ZUR
0 - 1
GCZ
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
FHV
2 - 1
BAS
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 0
BAS
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 2
SER
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 2
GNK
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 1
BAS
14%
22%
64%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |