Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
YOB
1 - 0
ZUR
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ZUR
2 - 0
LAU
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ZUR
0 - 0
FCL
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SIO
2 - 1
ZUR
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ZUR
2 - 2
YOB
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
THU
74%
16%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 1
LAU
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SIO
0 - 3
BAS
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 2
BAS
12%
20%
68%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
BAS
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |