Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
ZUR
2 - 3
YOB
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
SER
2 - 1
ZUR
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
GCZ
1 - 0
ZUR
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
ZUR
4 - 2
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1987 |
SIO
2 - 0
ZUR
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
BAS
0 - 0
SER
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
STG
2 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
BEL
2 - 2
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
BAS
3 - 1
SIO
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 1987 |
GCZ
5 - 1
BAS
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |