Zurich vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 0
STG
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
NEX
3 - 0
ZUR
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2009 |
ZUR
2 - 3
YOB
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
ZUR
2 - 1
GCZ
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 1
ZUR
27%
24%
49%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCL
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 1
NEX
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
SIO
2 - 2
BEL
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 1
ZUR
27%
24%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BEL
3 - 1
FCV
69%
18%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |