Zurich vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
ZUR
3 - 1
LAC
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
NEX
4 - 0
ZUR
60%
20%
19%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
BAS
5 - 3
ZUR
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
ZUR
2 - 0
LAU
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
BEL
3 - 0
FCL
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
VEV
1 - 0
BEL
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
SER
0 - 1
BEL
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
BEL
2 - 2
LOC
65%
19%
17%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
FCW
1 - 2
BEL
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |