Zurbarán vs San Bartolome analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
68.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurbarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDT
3 - 1
ZUR
82%
11%
6%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SIR
36%
22%
42%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
FMO
5 - 0
ZUR
82%
10%
7%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ZUR
1 - 3
SPH
12%
16%
72%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ZUR
0 - 1
VAL
26%
22%
52%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
San Bartolome
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SBA
2 - 1
SIR
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FMO
5 - 1
SBA
37%
22%
41%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SBA
0 - 0
SPH
52%
21%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 2
SBA
41%
23%
36%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SBA
3 - 0
TOR
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |