Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 5-2
Zulte-Waregem vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zulte-Waregem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
KSV
1 - 2
ZUL
14%
20%
65%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
BRU
2 - 0
ZUL
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
ZUL
1 - 2
AND
25%
25%
51%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ZUL
3 - 1
LOK
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
SDL
4 - 1
ZUL
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
WAR
2 - 3
ZAW
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
WIS
2 - 1
ZAW
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
ZAW
0 - 1
GÓR
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ZAW
0 - 0
GDA
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
POG
1 - 2
ZAW
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |