Jong Essevee vs Racing Club Harelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
12º
9º
10
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
8 | 58 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 57 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 52 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 51 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 45 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 45 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 43 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 43 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 41 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 34 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 30 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 28 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 19 |
16º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 7% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24% | 39% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 51% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Essevee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RCL
1 - 1
ZUL
36%
24%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OOS
3 - 1
ZUL
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZUL
2 - 1
ROD
64%
20%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
ZUL
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ZUL
1 - 2
SPO
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Club Harelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
ZEL
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 1
KVC
84%
11%
6%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RCL
2 - 2
SPO
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NIN
5 - 0
SPO
49%
23%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
5 - 0
JON
68%
18%
13%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |