Jong Essevee vs Sparta Petegem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
15º
6º
25
8º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 63 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 58 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 58 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 55 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 47 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 46 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 45 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 37 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 36 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 24 |
16º
|
48.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Essevee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
OLS
1 - 0
ZUL
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ZUL
1 - 3
SPO
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RCL
1 - 1
ZUL
36%
24%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OOS
3 - 1
ZUL
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZUL
2 - 1
ROD
64%
20%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Petegem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
TOR
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
APP
1 - 2
SPA
50%
22%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
DIK
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 3
ZUL
7%
13%
80%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ZEL
5 - 0
SPA
44%
22%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |