Jong Essevee vs Sparta Petegem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
12º
9º
3
6º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
8 | 58 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 57 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 52 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 51 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 45 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 45 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 43 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 43 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 41 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 34 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 30 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 28 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 19 |
16º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24% | 31.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Essevee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ZUL
1 - 3
SPO
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RCL
1 - 1
ZUL
36%
24%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OOS
3 - 1
ZUL
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZUL
2 - 1
ROD
64%
20%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
ZUL
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Petegem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
APP
1 - 2
SPA
50%
22%
28%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
DIK
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 3
ZUL
7%
13%
80%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ZEL
5 - 0
SPA
44%
22%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
OOS
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |