Jong Essevee vs Roeselare Daisel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
12º
9º
6
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
8 | 58 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 57 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 52 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 51 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 45 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 45 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 43 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 43 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 41 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 41 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 34 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 30 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 28 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 19 |
16º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
24% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Essevee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
ZUL
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ZUL
1 - 2
SPO
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OUD
3 - 0
ZUL
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ZUL
4 - 0
APP
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 2
ZUL
16%
22%
61%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Roeselare Daisel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ROD
1 - 1
BLA
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ROD
0 - 2
OUD
25%
23%
53%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ROD
4 - 1
WEL
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
BED
1 - 0
ROD
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ROD
3 - 2
WIE
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |