Zulia FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zulia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ZUL
1 - 2
ZAM
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ZUL
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2016 |
TAC
2 - 0
ZUL
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ZUL
2 - 0
TAC
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 2
ZUL
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 3
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
DEP
18%
23%
58%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
ZAM
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
EST
4 - 1
ESC
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ZUL
5 - 0
EST
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |