Zulia FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zulia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 0
ZUL
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 0
ZUL
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ZUL
1 - 0
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TUC
0 - 1
ZUL
27%
23%
51%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 2
ZUL
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
LAR
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 1
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CFC
2 - 1
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
YAR
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ANZ
3 - 1
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |