Venezuelan Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Zulia FC vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zulia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
ZUL
2 - 0
ZUL
81%
14%
6%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ZUL
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
ZUL
0 - 1
ZUL
9%
17%
74%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ZUL
3 - 1
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
ZUL
16%
22%
63%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 0
YAR
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
LAR
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
YAR
2 - 2
CAR
7%
13%
81%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
TAC
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |