Venezuelan Cup Final
Global 3-1
Zulia FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zulia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ZUL
1 - 1
APC
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 2
ZUL
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 2
ZUL
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
ZUL
2 - 3
CFC
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ZUL
51%
24%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 2
ZUL
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 2
ZUL
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
TAC
3 - 1
ARA
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
3 - 2
ANZ
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |