Zug 94 vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EMM
0 - 6
ZUG
17%
19%
64%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZUG
1 - 2
GOL
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SCE
1 - 4
ZUG
22%
20%
59%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ZUG
3 - 1
BUO
64%
18%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZUG
2 - 1
BRU
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LOC
5 - 0
FCT
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EMM
1 - 3
LOC
19%
20%
61%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 2
LOC
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 5
LOC
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BRU
3 - 1
LOC
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |