Zug 94 vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
7º
3º
44
4º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 0
ZUG
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ZUG
1 - 1
GOL
71%
17%
13%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 3
ZUG
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ZUG
1 - 1
PER
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SCE
2 - 5
ZUG
34%
23%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
ASC
50%
22%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 1
FCS
53%
21%
26%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 3
BRU
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 0
BUO
34%
21%
44%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 1
FCS
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |