Zug 94 vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
10º
2º
32
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ZUG
3 - 0
LUZ
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IBA
1 - 2
ZUG
21%
22%
57%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ZUG
7 - 0
ESC
83%
12%
6%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MEN
3 - 4
ZUG
35%
25%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ZUG
1 - 1
FCC
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SCE
4 - 1
FCS
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
FCS
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PER
0 - 2
FCS
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BUO
1 - 0
FCS
42%
23%
35%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
4 - 0
FCS
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |