Zug 94 vs Gambarogno - Contone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
10º
2º
39
5º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 0
ZUG
31%
23%
45%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ZUG
2 - 0
BRU
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SCE
2 - 0
ZUG
24%
21%
55%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ZUG
3 - 0
CHA
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PER
1 - 2
ZUG
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Gambarogno - Contone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
SCE
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
FCC
26%
22%
51%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 1
PER
37%
23%
39%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BUO
0 - 1
FCC
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 2
FCS
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |