Zrinski Osječko vs NK Croatia Zmijavci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
1º
2º
2º
36
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinski Osječko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 2
ZRI
24%
28%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZRI
2 - 0
DUB
65%
22%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 2
DUB
69%
21%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ZMI
0 - 0
ZRI
27%
28%
45%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 0
NKD
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
NK Croatia Zmijavci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
ZMI
0 - 3
HNS
19%
26%
55%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VUK
2 - 0
ZMI
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 1
ZMI
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ZMI
0 - 0
ZRI
27%
28%
45%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HNS
2 - 1
ZMI
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |