Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Zrinjski Mostar vs Zvijezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 0
ZRI
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
ZRI
0 - 0
RUD
67%
21%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ZRI
1 - 4
OSA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
ZVI
3 - 2
ZRI
39%
24%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GRD
1 - 2
ZRI
15%
22%
64%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SIR
1 - 0
ZVI
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ZVI
0 - 1
LEO
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
ZVI
3 - 2
ZRI
39%
24%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 1
ZVI
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ZVI
2 - 2
SAR
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |