Zrinjski Mostar vs Zvijezda 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.1%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
7º
2º
22
12º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
LAS
2 - 1
ZRI
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 1
GOS
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 0
ZRI
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
ZRI
6 - 2
BRE
44%
23%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
SBR
2 - 2
ZRI
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ZBE
1 - 0
SLO
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 0
ZBE
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ZBE
3 - 4
IGM
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
5 - 0
ZBE
80%
15%
6%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ZBE
3 - 1
SLO
21%
21%
58%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |