Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 0-7
Zrinjski Mostar vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
ZRI
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ZRI
2 - 0
BOT
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 4
ZRI
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
ZRI
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 3
ZRI
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
VIT
12%
22%
66%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
ZRI
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
ZUR
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ARO
0 - 1
VIT
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |