Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Zrinjski Mostar vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ZRI
2 - 0
SLA
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ZRI
0 - 0
SIR
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
OSA
0 - 1
ZRI
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ZRI
1 - 1
ČEL
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 3
ZRI
26%
27%
48%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DRI
3 - 1
VEL
20%
29%
51%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BBL
2 - 1
VEL
46%
27%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 2
ZVI
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
29%
29%
42%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
VEL
4 - 0
VIT
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +2 |