Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
2º
2º
8
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 42 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 41 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 38 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 36 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 30 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 27 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 21 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 20 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 20 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 15 |
12º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
30% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
36.5% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 1
BBL
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 1
SLO
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 0
POS
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 4
VIT
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
ZRI
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
SIR
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SIR
1 - 1
SLO
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
IGM
0 - 3
SIR
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 2
VEL
34%
28%
39%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
SIR
23%
27%
50%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |