Zrinjski Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
2º
1º
22
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 48 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 46 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 30 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 29 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 29 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 28 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 27 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 19 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 11 |
11º
|
75% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 7 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 72% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 28% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 1
ZRI
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 0
SIR
60%
22%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ZEL
0 - 2
ZRI
40%
28%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 1
BBL
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 1
SLO
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Radnik Bijeljina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BBL
2 - 0
RAD
73%
19%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 0
SLO
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
POS
3 - 1
RAD
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 1
IGM
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
RAD
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |