Zrinjski Mostar vs Posušje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
2º
2º
11
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 42 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 41 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 38 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 36 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 30 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 27 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 21 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 20 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 20 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 15 |
12º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
30% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
36.5% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 4
VIT
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
ZRI
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ZRI
2 - 0
BOT
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 4
ZRI
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
ZRI
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 1
POS
33%
28%
40%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POS
1 - 1
SLO
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 2
POS
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
POS
1 - 0
IGM
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
TMS
1 - 1
POS
11%
17%
72%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |