Zrinjski Mostar vs Leotar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
6º
1º
34
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 1
ZRI
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 3
ZRI
18%
27%
56%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ZRI
4 - 1
SLO
80%
15%
6%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
POS
0 - 2
ZRI
21%
28%
52%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ZRI
2 - 3
SAR
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leotar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
LEO
3 - 2
SLO
22%
27%
52%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
IGM
2 - 0
LEO
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 1
LEO
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 0
SLO
39%
30%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
POS
1 - 0
LEO
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |