Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Zrinjski Mostar vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ZRI
1 - 0
VEL
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
UTR
1 - 1
ZRI
52%
25%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 0
ZRI
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
ZRI
3 - 0
AKP
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
AKP
0 - 3
ZRI
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
UTR
1 - 1
ZRI
52%
25%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
MEP
0 - 0
UTR
9%
14%
77%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
MON
0 - 9
UTR
3%
8%
89%
|
80 | 22 | 58 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 2
UTR
49%
23%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
UTR
1 - 1
VIT
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |