Zrinjski Mostar vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
ZRI
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
ZRI
0 - 1
POS
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
ZRI
1 - 1
LAS
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ZRI
5 - 3
ZBE
87%
10%
3%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
LAS
2 - 1
ZRI
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AZA
2 - 0
SPA
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 2
AZA
22%
24%
55%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
BBS
3 - 3
AZA
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
AZA
1 - 1
BBS
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RKC
1 - 3
AZA
17%
22%
61%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |