De Zouaven vs DETO Twenterand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Zouaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DEZ
5 - 0
AFC
67%
18%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 2
DEZ
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DEZ
0 - 0
KON
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
DEZ
1 - 1
SCF
39%
25%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RKA
1 - 1
DEZ
54%
24%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
DETO Twenterand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
KAT
3 - 0
DET
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
DRA
0 - 1
DET
21%
22%
58%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
DET
1 - 4
FLE
50%
24%
27%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ORA
2 - 5
DET
24%
23%
54%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DET
2 - 1
WHC
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |