Zorya Luhansk vs Vorskla Poltava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
8º
4º
8
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 62 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 57 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 49 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 46 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 40 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 33 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 31 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 30 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 29 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 27 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4.5% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
18.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZOR
0 - 2
DYN
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 2
ZOR
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RYV
3 - 0
ZOR
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FKO
1 - 4
ZOR
5%
12%
83%
|
84 | 34 | 50 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ZOR
1 - 2
PFC
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vorskla Poltava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
DYN
3 - 1
VOR
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VOR
0 - 0
RYV
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KPT
1 - 1
VOR
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VOR
2 - 0
OBO
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 3
VOR
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |