Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Zorya Luhansk vs Molde FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
ZOR
1 - 2
MET
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
ZOR
2 - 1
LAÇ
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
LAÇ
0 - 3
ZOR
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
ZOR
0 - 2
CHE
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 3
ZOR
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
MFK
3 - 1
RBK
49%
23%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
GOR
1 - 1
MFK
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
MFK
3 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
MFK
4 - 1
GOR
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
ELP
0 - 1
MFK
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |