Q. Europa League Play-offs Final
Global 2-4
Zorya Luhansk vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 2
ZOR
27%
28%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ZOR
4 - 0
OLI
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
ZOR
3 - 0
CHA
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
STA
2 - 0
ZOR
22%
25%
53%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
ZOR
41%
26%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
PGL
2 - 1
WAR
37%
26%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
GOR
0 - 2
WAR
32%
26%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 1
WIS
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 0
KUK
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
GOR
0 - 2
WAR
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |