Zorya Luhansk vs Inhulets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
9º
5º
4
11º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
16 | 58 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 58 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 57 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 50 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 45 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 39 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 33 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 32 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 27 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 27 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
16º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
14% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 29% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ZOR
2 - 0
ALT
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
ZOR
3 - 2
ALR
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
ZOR
1 - 1
LOK
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NSM
0 - 0
ZOR
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
ZRI
2 - 1
ZOR
34%
24%
43%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Inhulets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
LNZ
0 - 0
INH
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
OLE
2 - 1
INH
4%
11%
85%
|
75 | 12 | 63 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
INH
3 - 2
POL
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
HKR
3 - 1
INH
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
INH
2 - 1
KPT
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |