Zorya Luhansk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
8º
3º
32
7º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
ZOR
1 - 0
FCV
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ZOR
3 - 1
CHO
72%
19%
10%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 1
ZOR
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ZOR
2 - 1
SKD
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HKR
1 - 0
ZOR
13%
21%
66%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2023 |
MET
0 - 0
RYV
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 1
MET
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LVI
0 - 2
MET
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MET
0 - 0
PFC
23%
27%
51%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
KOL
3 - 0
MET
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |