Zob Ahan vs Aluminium Arak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
25.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
13º
9º
40
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zob Ahan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ZOB
5 - 1
NAF
57%
27%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
GOH
1 - 0
ZOB
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ZOB
0 - 1
EST
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
NAS
0 - 0
ZOB
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZOB
1 - 0
PAY
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aluminium Arak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
AAK
3 - 0
NAS
36%
31%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
AAK
52%
29%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
AAK
2 - 0
SMK
50%
29%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
PAY
0 - 0
AAK
47%
30%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AAK
1 - 0
MAL
57%
27%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |